According to the latest OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2026–2035, this growth to strong global demand, high yields and attractive export prices, with international trade expected to continue expanding rapidly over the coming years.
Exports projected to reach 4.3 million tonnes
Global avocado exports are forecast to reach 4.3 million tonnes by 2035, representing an estimated market value of US$11 billion. At the same time, worldwide production is expected to grow by 2.6% annually, reaching 16 million tonnes—more than three times the production recorded in 2015.
Latin America to remain the global production hub
Latin America and the Caribbean are expected to account for nearly 65% of global avocado production by 2035, led by Mexico, Colombia and Peru.
Mexico is forecast to remain the world's largest exporter, representing 38% of global exports, while Peru is expected to account for approximately 25% of international shipments, largely supplying the European market.
Demand continues to expand worldwide
The United States and the European Union are expected to remain the world's largest import markets, together accounting for nearly 70% of global avocado imports by 2035.
Demand is also projected to grow in the United Kingdom, Canada, China and several Middle Eastern countries, supported by rising incomes and increasing consumer interest in healthy diets.
2025 confirms strong market momentum
According to the report, global avocado exports increased by 13% in 2025, reaching 3.3 million tonnes, compared with just 2% growth in 2024.
Peru recorded strong export growth thanks to expanding production, while Mexico's exports were partially constrained by robust domestic demand. Together, the two countries supplied more than 60% of globally traded avocados.
Morocco among the countries expanding exports
The report also highlights Morocco among the countries that increased avocado exports in 2025, alongside Chile and the Dominican Republic. In contrast, exports from Kenya and South Africa declined due to logistical disruptions linked to the Red Sea crisis.
A market with long-term growth prospects
With consumption continuing to rise and production expanding across several regions, avocados are expected to strengthen their position as one of the world's fastest-growing fruit categories, driven by increasing demand, expanding international trade and sustained investment throughout the value chain.